Defense Resource Planning Under Uncertainty

By Robert J. Lempert, Drake Warren, Ryan Henry, Robert W. Button, Jonathan Klenk & Kate Giglio

Defense Resource Planning Under Uncertainty - Robert J. Lempert, Drake Warren, Ryan Henry, Robert W. Button, Jonathan Klenk & Kate Giglio
  • Release Date: 2016-01-29
  • Genre: Military History

Description

Defense planning faces significant uncertainties. This report applies robust decision making (RDM) to the air-delivered munitions mix challenge. RDM is quantitative, decision support methodology designed to inform decisions under conditions of deep uncertainty and complexity. This proof-of-concept demonstration suggests that RDM could help defense planners make plans more robust to a wide range of hard-to-predict futures.